Market manipulation related to CBOE and CME futures!
Both once the CBOE future expired now, if the CME bitcoin future is arriving settlement, there was an important reduction in the bitcoin price. Both futures has quite a low volume and that i would reckon that they’re covered with one single liquidity provider\/market maker. The forex market maker is probably short the longer term and perhaps long the area. At expiry, they’ll profit if your prices are low this will let you border after settlement in the event the cost rebounds. Sadly both CME and CBOE has chosen a very bad settlement processes which might be easy to manipulate. For CBOE oahu is the auction price for Gemini – a young with a very small volume usually.
CME’s model is much better, but nevertheless lower, VWAP around the four major exchanges is a good idea, in case that VWAP is calculated on just one minute of trading it’s meaningless. With few large participants, the amount on a real brief period is quite limited. Even if many large participants might have interests in a of those settlement processes they’d more than likely have similar position and benefits from exactly the same side in the market manipulation. The VWAP must have been calculated over a long time instead). Concluding is the fact that we likely will discover a large amount of strange market activity around each future expiration and expect a rebound after 3 pm Central time today!.
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